Articles
24 published-
Analysis · Iran & the Middle East
Why Trump Can't End the Iran War After the Midterms
The Vice President says by January 2029. The theory of how wars end says neither of them controls the date.
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Analysis · Iran & the Middle East
America Is Bombing Its Own Bond Market
Five Iranian tankers are burning, oil has crossed $100, and the U.S. Treasury is paying more than $1 trillion a year in interest. These three facts are one story.
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Research brief · Europe
Europe Is Becoming a Chinese Colony
How Europe’s trade imbalance with China is becoming a vulnerability for jobs, manufacturing, and security.
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Analysis · China & the Indo-Pacific
China Won’t Invade Taiwan. It Will Quarantine It.
A blockade is an act of war. A quarantine is paperwork
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Analysis · United States
Trump Doesn’t Want Money From His Allies. He Wants Their Soldiers.
South Korea pay the price of the US security guaranty
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Analysis · Iran & the Middle East
The U.S. Imported Iranian Oil While Bombing Iran
For one month, a quiet Treasury licence made Iranian crude legal in American ports
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Analysis · South Asia
China’s Water Bomb Has Exploded in Nepal — and the World Is Silent
Climate change broke the mountain, but China’s upstream secrecy and the world’s silence turned disaster into catastrophe.
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Analysis · Russia & Ukraine
Russia Is Frustrated. Europe will be targeted next.
Britain crosses Moscow’s red lines, and NATO’s defences run dangerously low.
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Analysis · Climate, Food & Water
The World Is Moving Toward a Food Crisis. Russia Could Be the Last Resort.
War, fertiliser shortages, export restrictions and El Niño are breaking the global food chain
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Analysis · Climate, Food & Water
The Biggest El Niño Since 1877 Could Hit Harder
This time, we have 18 months’ warning — and still no plan.
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Analysis · United States
When Will America’s Economic Doomsday Actually Hit?
There are five things that have to happen first — and two of them happened this week.
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Analysis · Iran & the Middle East
Iran Is Waiting for the US Midterm Elections
In 1980, It Waited for the American Election, and It Is Waiting Again.
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Analysis · Europe
How Far Can Europe Go for Ukraine?
Europe has become Ukraine’s biggest financial backer. The real question is whether Europe’s own economy can survive the cost.
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Analysis · United States
The Crash Will Begin in America and Hit the Entire World
Much Worse Than 1929, 2000, and 2008
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Analysis · Europe
The Two-Tier System of the European Union
Why Fast-Tracking Ukraine Could Reshape EU Membership Forever
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Analysis · United States
Why Greenland Is Not Worth It for Trump
Natural resources, power politics, and the high price of coercion
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Analysis · Russia & Ukraine
Russia’s War Economy Is Finally Breaking Apart
The Illusion of Strength Is Fading
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Analysis · Europe
London’s Great Wealth Exodus
Why London’s Millionaires Are Fleeing And Where They’re Heading
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Analysis · South Asia
India-Pakistan: The Next Major War?
5 ways India can respond to the terrorist attack by Pakistan
